• Govt lifts restrictions on export to Bhutan May 16th, 2008, 23:06 - APD (Length: 1206)
• BRIC rubbishes claims of food crisis due to India, China May 16th, 2008, 23:01 - APD (Length: 1967)
• Non-basmati rice strengthens on tight supply May 16th, 2008, 22:51 - APD (Length: 1203)
• Edible oil prices up on increased demand May 16th, 2008, 22:51 - APD (Length: 1725)
• Mafia hoards 0.4 million tons rice May 16th, 2008, 21:28 - APD (Length: 2972)
• Rice bartering is ruled out May 16th, 2008, 14:18 - KRT (Length: 2730)
• Private sector wants free market May 16th, 2008, 14:18 - KRT (Length: 6402)
• Food prices have soared by the highest rate in 18 years May 16th, 2008, 07:26 - KRT (Length: 7858)
• Jim Rice to pitch for RCN: Cable co. plans Boston expansion May 16th, 2008, 07:10 - KRT (Length: 2395)
• Malaysian consumer group calls for halt of rice mkt manipulation May 16th, 2008, 01:07 - AIF (Length: 837)

[ More Rice News ]

Analysis

Fri 5/16/08

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: The market is oversold and appears to be finding some support. Confirming this, the market just signaled a bullish key reversal off a 9 bar new low. Look for a bottom in this area.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: The market is EXTREMELY BEARISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to lower prices: the fast average is below the slow average; the fast average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; and price is below the fast average and the slow average. WARNING: Market momentum slowed down on this bar. This is indicated by the fact that the difference between the two moving average lines is smaller on this bar than on the previous bar. Its possible that we may see a market rally.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: The market is EXTREMELY BEARISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to lower prices: the fast average is below the slow average; the fast average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; and price is below the fast average and the slow average. WARNING: Market momentum slowed down on this bar. This is indicated by the fact that the difference between the two moving average lines is smaller on this bar than on the previous bar. Its possible that we may see a market rally.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is below the moving average so the trend is down.

Additional Analysis: Market trend is DOWN.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 43.49). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat oversold (RSI is at 43.49), suggesting a possible rally. Supporting this outlook, the bullish key reversal off a 9 bar new low here suggests an upturn in the market.

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed above the SlowD line; this indicates a buy signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. SlowK is starting to show the market is oversold. A bottom may not be far off. The short term trend is UP. SlowK was up this bar for the first time in a while. Its possible that we may see an up move here. if next bar's SlowK is also up, then a possible bottom may have been established.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is in oversold territory (SlowK is at 18.16); this indicates a possible market rise is coming.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. SlowK is showing the market is oversold. Look for a bottom soon. The short term trend is UP. SlowK was up this bar for the first time in a while. Its possible that we may see an up move here. if next bar's SlowK is also up, then a possible bottom may have been established.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is DOWN. A bullish key reversal off a 5 bar new low here suggests an upmove.

ADX Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: ADX measures the strength of the prevailing trend. A rising ADX indicates a strong underlying trend while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend which is subject to reversal. Currently the ADX is falling.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is up. However, a falling ADX indicates that the current trend is weakening and may possibly reverse. Look for a choppy market ahead.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (-84.89) is in neutral territory. A signal is generated only when the CCI crosses above or below the neutral center region.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation,CCI (-84.89) is bearish, but has begun showing some strength. Begin looking for an attractive point to cover short positions and return to the sidelines.

DMI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: DMI signals a bearish trade when the DMI+crosses below the DMI-, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: DMI has signaled a bearish trade. However, the ADX has weakened making this trade less attractive. Look for outside confirmation before taking a bearish position here, or wait for an upturn in ADX.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD is in bearish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. MACD is in bearish territory. However, the recent upturn in the MacdMA may indicate a short term rally within the next few bars.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (0.20) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is indicating an overbought market. However the market may continue to become more overbought. Look for some evidenced weakness before getting too bearish here.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is in a downtrend based on a 9 bar moving average. While this is normal following delivery of nearer term contracts, be cautious. Decreasing open interest indicates lower liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (1.08) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is indicating an overbought market. However the market may continue to become more overbought. Look for some evidenced weakness before closing long positions here.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

Note: The above analysis is computer generated from mathematical formulae, and is provided for educational purposes only. Neither the above, nor any information on this site is intended as a trade recommendation.