Rough Rice (Globex) Weekly Commodity Futures Price Chart : CBOT

Rough Rice (Globex)
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Weekly Commodity Futures Price Chart

Rough Rice (Globex) (CBOT)

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Contract Specifications:ZR,CBOT
Trading Unit: 2,000 cwt
Tick Size: 1/2 cent/cwt ($10/contract)
Quoted Units: US $ per hundredweight
Initial Margin: $1,283   Maint Margin: $950
Contract Months: Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Sep, Nov
First Notice Day: Last business day of month preceding contract month.
Last Trading Day: Seventh business day preceding the last business day of the delivery month.
Trading Hours: Electronic: 6:00 p.m. - 6:00 a.m. and 9:30 a.m. - 1:15 p.m.Central Time, Sun.-Fri.
Trading in expiring contracts closes at noon on the last trading day.
Daily Limit: +- 50 cents/cwt ($1,000/contract), spot month none

Analysis

Fri 10/17/14

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: The market is in oversold territory.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Even though based on conventional interpretation the market is technically bullish, we will not classify it as extremely bullish until the following occurs: the fast moving average slope is up from the previous bar, the slow moving average slope is up from previous bar, price goes above the fast moving average, price goes above the slow moving average.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bearish because the fast moving average is below the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: The market is EXTREMELY BEARISH. Everything in this indicator is pointing to lower prices: the fast average is below the slow average; the fast average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; the slow average is on a downward slope from the previous bar; and price is below the fast average and the slow average.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is below the moving average so the trend is down.

Additional Analysis: Market trend is DOWN.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is in oversold territory (SlowK is at 13.65); this indicates a possible market rise is coming. The stochastic is bullish because the SlowK line is above SlowD line.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is DOWN. The short term trend is DOWN. Don't be fooled looking for a bottom here because of this indicator. The stochastic indicator is only good at picking bottoms in a Bull Market (in which we are not). Exit short positions only if some other indicator tells you to.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index is most often used to identify bars where the market is likely to change direction. A signal is generated when the swing index crosses zero. No signal has been generated here.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is in a downtrend based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is DOWN. Volume is trending higher, allowing for a pick up in volatility.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (-62.31) is in neutral territory. A signal is generated only when the CCI crosses above or below the neutral center region.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation, CCI (-62.31) is currently short. The current short position will be reversed when the CCI crosses above zero.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD has issued a bullish signal. A bullish signal is generated when the FastMA crosses above the SlowMA, as it has here.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (-0.11) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Momentum is indicating an oversold market. However the market may continue to become more oversold. Look for evidenced strength before interpreting any bullishness here.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average. This is normal as delivery approaches and indicates increased liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (-0.91) is below zero, indicating an oversold market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is DOWN. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is DOWN. Rate of Change is indicating an oversold market. However the market may continue to become more oversold. Look for evidenced strength before interpreting any bullishness here.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 30.23). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat oversold (RSI is at 30.23). However, this by itself isn't a strong enough indication to signal a trade. Look for additional evidence here before getting too bullish here.

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The stochastic is in oversold territory (SlowK is at 12.78; this indicates a possible market rise is coming.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is DOWN. The short term trend is DOWN. Don't be fooled looking for a bottom here because of this indicator. The stochastic indicator is only good at picking bottoms in a Bull Market (in which we are not). Exit short positions only if some other indicator tells you to.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

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